by Deepak Gupta
Because I don't have a crystal ball, I'll leave to others the task of making predictions based on yesterday's oral arguments before the U.S. Supreme Court in AT&T v. Concepcion. (By the way, here's some of the latest scholarship on such prediction-making.)
If you want to play along at home, you can come up with your own prognostication based on the transcript, one of the excellent summaries by Professors Lawrence Cunningham or Jean Sternlight, or some of the press coverage:
- "Overall," according to SCOTUSblog, "post-argument predictions about the case’s outcome tilt toward a victory by
respondents Vincent and Liza Concepcion, but not everyone was willing to make predictions based on the argument."
- "Recent Supreme Court decisions have generally favored the enforcement of arbitration agreements and have been wary of aspects of class-action litigations. But it was hardly clear at Tuesday’s arguments that those two trends would continue in the latest case." Adam Liptak, Supreme Court Weighs Class-Action Suits, New York Times
- "A victory for consumers and class action litigators seemed possible on Tuesday as the Supreme Court heard arguments in a high-stakes dispute over clauses that block class actions as a way of resolving contract disputes." Tony Mauro, Class actions on the ropes? Not likely, National Law Journal
- "My sense tells me that the anti-consumer, anti-class action bias will win this one. Not so much on the merits, but because of the politics." Steve Berk, AT&T v. Concepcion: Almost live from the Supreme Court,The Corporate Observer
- "[I]t doesn't look as though there are too many votes at the high court to do away with the right of consumers to band together to sue the great American manufacturers of fine print." Dahlia Lithwick, Can You Hear Them Now? The Supreme Court reads the fine print on your cell phone contract, Slate
- "Based on what was said during the argument, I predict a 8-1 or 7-2 vote for the consumers and California, with Alito dissenting and Roberts a toss up. Thomas, who never speaks at oral argument, will vote for the consumers and state on federalism grounds, as he always does in FAA cases." Lawrence Cunningham, Argument in Class Waiver Case Favors Consumers, States, Concurring Opinions
- "The Supreme Court seemed disinclined to let companies use legal fine print to block class actions, with several justices suggesting they might defer to state courts that ruled in favor of consumers." Jess Bravin, Justices Question Contracts That Block Class Actions, Wall Street Journal
- "AT&T's odds are mixed: ... Justices Clarence Thomas and Antonin Scalia are sympathetic to these cases due to their states' rights ideology. But no one will be surprised if AT&T and its big business backers prevail." Stephanie Mencimer, Consumer Protection's Citizens United, Mother Jones
- "In sum, I think Respondents have to be pleased with how the argument went. A significant number of Justices seemed to recognize that some arbitration provisions are unconscionable, and that second-guessing lower courts’ unconscionability rulings can raise some difficult federalism and administrative issues." Jean Sternlight, ADR Prof Blog
- "While Chief Justice John Roberts and Justice Samuel Alito appeared this morning to join Mr. Pincus in trying to come up with support for preemption in this case, it appears that they may come up a few votes short (with the usual caveat that it is always a risky business to predict how the Court will rule based on oral argument)." Elizabeth Wydra, ACSblog.
For you ultrawonks out there, here's even more coverage:
- David Savage, Supreme Court weighs whether consumers' small suits can be combined, Los Angeles Times
- Robert Barnes, Justices hear case on class-action arbitration, Washington Post
- Jeremy Hobson, Is banning class action lawsuits unconstitutional?, NPR Marketplace (interviewing David Lazarus of the L.A. TImes)
- Ashby Jones, Class-Action Lawyers Breathing Easier After High Court Argument, Wall Street Journal
- Bill Mears, High court to decide dispute over taxes on 'free cell phone,' CNN
- Mark Sherman, Court hears dispute over 'free' phone, Associated Press
- Joan Biskupic, Supreme Court hears sales tax case on 'free' phone, USA Today
- Jon Hood, The End of Class Actions?, Consumer Affairs
- Greg Stohr, Consumer Arbitration case divides U.S. Supreme Court, Businessweek
- Lawyers USA, Supreme Court hears AT&T class action waiver dispute, Daily Record
- Brendan Fischer, Supreme Court Considers Corporate Right to Mandatory Arbitration, Center for Media and Democracy
- David Heath, High Court Ponders If Companies Can Force Consumers to Sign Away Right to Class-Action Suits, Center for Public Integrity
- Erika Morphy, A lot hinges on SC's ruling in $30 cellphone sales case, E-Commerce Times
- Scott Lemieux, Consumer Protection at the Supreme Court, The American Prospect
- Nan Aron, Will the Supreme Court Grant Big Business a License to Steal
- Ian Milhiser, The Supreme Court's One Thousandth Cut Against Consumers, Center for American Progress
We posted some of the pre-argument coverage here -- most notably these columns by David Lazarus in the LA Times and Prof. Brian Fitzpatrick (Vanderbilt Law) in the SF Chronicle. An archive, including all of the briefs, is available here.